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The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data. Australian employment, New Zealand inflation and Canadian CPI figures will also attract attention. The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades slightly higher near 100.80 after…
WTI crude oil futures settled at $82.61, down $6.70 (-7.50%) on the day. It was the largest one-day decline since April 17, when prices tumbled 9.86%, as easing geopolitical tensions sparked heavy selling across the energy market. From a technical perspective, the bearish tone strengthened as the price broke below several key support levels. WTI…
Clarity of responsibility is an essential element of political accountability. We develop a rational model of Bayesian updating in the presence of ambiguous attribution and we test its predictions using an original survey. We show that respondents’ partisanship, assessment of public healthcare quality, and beliefs over which layer of government is responsible for healthcare are…
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just short of 52,900 on Tuesday, higher by close to 700 points and 1.3%, roughly 450 points beneath the record it set in the first week of July. Taken alone, that reads as a broad risk rally. One index over, the semiconductor complex is in a drawdown that has…
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong stress that the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) remains relatively well supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and robust domestic fundamentals. July exports surged and the trade surplus widened, underpinned by strong electronics and firmer palm Oil prices, though he cautions that elevated Oil and long-end US Treasury yields…
