A Japanese Wake-Up Call for America by Desmond Lachman


Japan’s deepening currency and bond-market woes should be a wake-up call for other countries that appear to be on unsustainable fiscal paths, not least the United States, as well as France, Italy, and the United Kingdom. After all, a crisis in one country often draws investors’ attention to others facing similar problems.

WASHINGTON, DC—Japan appears to be on the cusp of a full-blown currency and bond-market crisis. Although the Japanese authorities spent more than $70 billion in May to prop up the yen, the currency has slumped to a 40-year low and is estimated to be at least 15% undervalued against the US dollar. Meanwhile, Japanese long-term bond yields have surged to multi-decade highs following the end of the Bank of Japan’s yield-curve-control policy. And with no signs of Japan addressing the underlying causes of its currency’s downward spiral anytime soon, there is every reason to fear that the crisis will deepen.

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